Corentin Moutet vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Moutet outperforms Minaur in second serve points, winning 48.96% compared to Minaur's 44.53%. Does this suggest Moutet will have the upper hand in extended rallies? It might.
• In return games, Moutet excels by winning 45.98% of points on his opponent's second serve, while Minaur wins 41.04%. Could this indicate a stronger ability to capitalize on the opponent's weaker serves? It appears so.
• Moutet also has an edge in first serve returns, securing 28.87% compared to Minaur's 25.81%.
• Under pressure, Moutet saves 56.72% of breakpoints, slightly better than Minaur's 51.31%—a potential advantage during crucial moments.
• Over the past year, Minaur has a superior match win rate of 66.67%, while Moutet sits at 55.38%, pointing to a consistent performance advantage for Minaur.
• Minaur performs best on Grass with a career win rate of 68%, whereas Moutet is most successful on Clay at 64%.
• Minaur's main tour win rate over the last year is higher, at 70.83% compared to Moutet's 54.84%, indicating he might be better accustomed to high-level competition.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Minaur has won their only match, with a set score of 2-0.
• The average rank of Minaur’s opponents is 57.55, tougher than Moutet’s 86.42, which could suggest that Minaur is more tested in competitive settings.
• Should the match go to a deciding set, Moutet has historically fared better, winning 58% of such sets, while Minaur stands at 47%.
• When it comes to breakpoint conversion, Minaur edges slightly ahead with 32.22%, compared to Moutet’s 31.23%.

Editorial Prediction (July 27, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match presents intriguing patterns when dissecting player performances and trends. Moutet demonstrates notable strengths in second serve returns and breakpoint saving, suggesting he can effectively handle pressure situations.

However, with an impressive overall win percentage of 66.67% over the past year, Minaur displays a consistent upper hand in match outcomes. Additionally, his superior performance against higher-ranked opponents highlights his capability to perform well against challenging adversaries.

Considering these factors, while both players present viable paths to victory, Minaur's consistent performance and previous head-to-head success establish him as the slight favorite to win the match.